Value Plays are hot
Just like the horses we bet on, sometimes a change of venue can help a handicapper, too. At least that's what I'm thinking after coming to Los Angeles to stay with the in-laws over the holidays and watching my Value Plays rack up the profits.
I post three Value Plays per card. Usually I'll highlight a price horse I like, then offer a suggested wager keying on said horse. This week I've cashed five of the eight suggested tickets (my key horse scratched in Thursday's first so I don't count that).
Sunday we scored with a big exacta in the featured 10th race. Sharbat was 10-1 on the morning line in a $40k optional claimer/N2X at one mile on the turf. We highlighted him both in the Value Plays and as the day's "Longshot Special" on the Black Gold tip sheet (available on track where programs are sold). Sharbat won and paid $24.60. In the Value Plays we advised an exacta keying Sharbat that, with runner-up High Surf, paid $210 (we had it for a $1 in the Value Plays, getting back $105).
Then today we cashed all three of our Value Plays. It started with Premier Dance in Race 2, who we suggested betting to Win and Place for $5 each. Those paid $10 and $5 respectively, for a $75 return. In Race 5 we offered $16 worth of $1 exactas, keying Dictina Too in first and second. She won, paying $8. Even better, we completed the exacta with Category Seven, the second longest shot on the board at 35-1. The exacta paid $241.20, and once again we had it for $1 ($120.60).
To cap off the day, we hit another $1 exacta keying Deep Canyon in the eighth. He paid $13.20, and the exacta with George's Cigar paid $81.80 (or $40.90 for us $1 players). For today's Value Plays, we made $236.50 on $48 of wagers, for a $188.50 profit.
Overall, the Value Plays have not turned a profit for the meet, but we're getting very close to being back in black. A total of $863 worth of wagers have returned $842. We're cashing over 25% of our suggested tickets, and the numbers have been on the rise in December after we stumbled through our first few weeks of handicapping Fair Grounds on a daily basis.