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Brisnet's Prime Power for locating live longshots.
While playing the top rated Brisnet Prime Power horse, as found in the Brisnet Ultimate Past Performances, will produce winners at a 31 percent rate, often value can be found using horses that are ranked in the top three but maybe ignored by the betting public. A few examples are seen this weekend at Arlington.
Saturday, Race 8. In this competitive looking turf sprint #9 Hither Lane is a juicy looking 15/1 on the morning line but is ranked third, within three points of the top, on Prime Power. After finishing fourth in the grade three Mr. Prospector H. in January 2007, Hither Lane did not race again until August of this year when he showed speed before tiring going six furlongs on the Polytrack. Being by Mr. Greeley, the switch to the turf maybe to his advantage and, with plenty of front runners entered here, the gelding's stalking speed can be used to good effect.
Saturday, Race 11. #8 Pirates Vow (8/1) is also ranked a close third on Prime Power in this contentious six and a half furlong allowance event on the Polytrack. Owning plenty of early speed, Pirates Vow is not only top on the Early Pace Last Race category in the Ultimate Past Performances Summary, but also owns the highest "E1" and "E2" ratings. With a rider change to the in-form James Graham, Privates Vow must be considered a threat to wire this field at a decent price.
Sunday, Race 2. Trainer Chris Dorris claimed #2 Officer Frank, who is 8/1 on the morning line and top ranked on Prime Power, out of his last start and raises him in class for this. Dorris has been winning at a 15 percent clip with runners making their first start since being claimed and Officer Frank is also top ranked on Current Class and Average Class Last 3 categories in the Summary. Influenced by the gelding's disappointing fourth place finish as the favorite against weaker last time out, the public may allow Officer Frank to be a value play.
Sunday, Race 10. The third top ranked horse on Prime Power in this starter allowance on the turf is #2 Light Sleeper who is 10/1 on the morning line. A winner of a bottom level claimer last time out, which earned him the top position on Late Pace Last Race in the Ultimate Summary, Light Sleeper has two wins and a third from six starts on this turf course. With plenty of early pace entered here the race should set up well for Light Sleeper to make good use of his closing speed.
Tim Holland 09-11-09.
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