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Brisnet Spot Plays for Thursday and Friday.
Unique Pace and Class ratings, trainer and pedigree statistics, track bias information and much more are found in the Brisnet Ultimate Past Performances. By using the Ultimates players can unearth nuggets that can lead to lucrative days at the track. A few plays are found at Arlington on Thursday.
Race 1. As seen in the Track Bias Stats early speed has been dangerous at this mile and a sixteenth distance which might tempt one to play Stars of the Sea who owns a runstyle of "E6" and has the best "E1" and "E2" Pace figures in the race. However, Sixteen Gauge also has a "E6" runstyle and may not allow Stars of the Sea an uncontested lead which suggest one should look for a closer. A good option might be #3 TWISTING ROAD who has a "S1" runstyle and is the Prime Power pick. He is trained by Dale Bennett who is having a strong meet winning at 33 percent. Twisting Road is making his third start off a layoff in which situation the barn wins at 22 percent. The icing on the cake may be the booking of James Graham as this trainer/jockey combination has won three times out of the last seven for a large ROI. At 9/2 on the morning line Twisting Road may offer value.
Race 2. Early speed has also been a powerful asset at the six furlong distance of this claimer. #4 CHECK MY DADDY (7/2) has clearly superior "E1" and "E2" pace figures and is the lone runner with an "E" type runstyle. He will be hard to catch and one for the exacta may be the late running closer Golden Thief who is the Prime Power selection.
Race 3. At 8/1 on the morning line, #6 SALT POINT is an interesting prospect in this six and a half furlong maiden claimer. Clearly he is the best bred horse in the field with his sire, Gone West having an SPI of 3.35 and being out of a mare that was stakes placed. Salt Point has not raced for 248 days and will be making his first start for Wayne Catalano. With runners coming off this length of layoff, Catalano wins at a rate of 25 percent and runners that are new to his barn score at 36 percent.
Race 5. In this maiden claimer over six furlongs Catalano saddles #6 MARVELOUS MARV who is pegged at 9/2 on the morning line. The two-year-old was well bet in his debut here in early July but finished sixth of the ten runners and gets blinkers added for his second start. The barn wins with 25 percent of their runners going out for the second time and with 26 percent that are being equipped with blinkers for the first time. A look at the Brisnet pedigee stats reveal that this colt is a half-brother to two stakes winners and to three winning juveniles.
Race 7. Shipping in from Indiana Downs where he wired his field last time, Tidy Up is the Prime Power pick and the one to catch in this one mile and a sixteenth claiming event. However, it may pay to take a shot with #5 ROLLED UP (8/1) who will make his second start off a layoff for Charles Simon and is second on the Prime Power. Rolled Up is top on the Average Class Last 3 category in the Ultimate Past Performances Race Summary and his barn wins with 17 percent of runners switching from turf to all weather surfaces.
Race 9. Inside speed has been extremely successful in five furlong sprints on the turf this meet. #1 THAT'S A FACT has been close to, but has no been able to make, the lead in his last two tries over this distance. However, today he draws the rail and with superior "E1" and "E2" may be able to assume command early and at 8/1 on the morning line could be a good way to end the day.
Tim Holland 8-19-09.
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