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Brisnet Sire Stats Nuggets for Thursday and Friday.
Among the wide array of handicapping and pedigree products available at Brisnet.com is the invaluable TSN Sire Stats book. This annual publication lists every active stallion and ranks their runners' performances from "A+" to "F" on turf, all weather and muddy dirt surfaces as well as with first time starters. Also included are each stallion's Sire Production Index (SPI) and the average winning distance of their winners. A few nuggets identified using the book for Arlington on Thursday are listed below:
Race 3. With four wins from 15 starts, as well as two second place finishers, Steve Fridley is having a strong Arlington meet. Here he sends out the first time starter, #7 Racin Mason. Although Fridley has only been winning with seven percent of his debutants, at 12/1 in the morning line the Racin Mason may be worth a look since he is by Wild Gold who is rated as an A+ sire in the first time starter category of the Sire Stats book. The dark bay posted a bullet workout at Fairmont Park in late August and is a half-brother to two juvenile winners according to the pedigree statistics found in the Brisnet Ultimate Past Performances.
Race 7. Another sire rated as an A+ first time starter sire in the Sire Stats book is Peace Rules who is represented here by #2 Park Rules. This colt, whose workouts include a bullet in late August, is trained by Tom Proctor who has been winning at 17 percent for the meet and, with a morning line of 8/1, may offer value.
Race 9. Menifee is an A rated sire with his runners on All Weather surfaces and his daughter, #3 Lisa Lu, will make her third start on a synthetic track in this seven furlong claiming event. Although she did not win in either of her two previous tries on artificial surfaces she had excuses for both those losses and, as the Prime Power pick in the Ultimate Past Perfomances and 7/2 on the morning line, should be given another chance here.
Race 10. The morning line favorite in this five furlong maiden on the turf is #3 Zippy My Boy who is by City Zip, an A rated turf sire in the Sire Stat book. The colt will be making his second start on the lawn having finished a slightly disappointing seventh in his grass debut. However, that race was over a mile and the offspring of City Zip have an average winning distance (AWD) of just 6.4 furlongs suggesting that this shorter distance may be more suitable.
An interesting longshot in this maiden claimer is #7 Derelicte. The colt showed little speed before closing to be third in his debut on the Polytrack in June. However, with his sire, Najran, being rated A+ with his turf runners he may appreciate this change in surface.but may appreciate this change in surface.
Tim Holland 9-9-09.
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