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Brisnet PPs for maiden races.
With often few running lines to analyze handicapping maiden races can be a hard task for horseplayers. However, the Brisnet Ultimate Past Performances include a wide range of trainer and pedigree statistics that can make this task easier and more profitable. A few examples are seen on Saturday.
Fair Grounds race 1. #3 PAPERS TO PROVE IT. Gelding showed speed in his debut and now makes his second start in this maiden claimer. Trainer, Merrill Scherer wins with 20 percent (+0.88 ROI) of his second time starters and with 15 percent of his starters that are returning from a break of 46-90 days.
Calder race 5: #7 DANCES WITH ASHLEY. Makes her debut on the grass for Martin Wolfson whose debutants win at a 17 percent rate. To date the offspring of her young sire, Wildcat heir, have been winning at 29 percent on the turf.
Churchill race 4: #1 SOCIAL PAGE. Makes her second start for trainer Michael Matz whose runners win at 18 percent (+0.85 ROI) in this situation. Has top pedigree with her sire A. P. Indy having an SPI of 5.00 and his stakes winning dam owning a DPI of 5.93.
Calder race 12: #12 MOJAVE. Although he draws a wide post, this first timer from Kathleen O'Connell's barn may be worth a look. Runners by her sire Alke have been winning their debuts at a 18 percent rate and O'Connell's first timers score at 15 percent with a ROI of +0.48. Colt posted a bullet work near the end if last month.
Churchill race 10: #8 INDIANAPOLIS. Ken McPeek introduced this Brazilian-bred at Keeneland when he finished a fine second. McPeek's second time starters win at a rate of 24 percent (+ 0.30 ROI) and first time on the grass at 20 percent.
Fair Grounds race 7: #2 GAELIC LASS. Makes first start since September for Tom Amoss whose runners win at 25 percent when returning off a 46-90 day layoff. Runners trained by Amoss score at 28 percent when trying the turf for the first time with a ROI of +0.24.
Fair Grounds race 10: #5 STARLITE STARBRITE. Debuting runner is by Mutakddim whose firsters win at 17 percent. Trainer Tom Amoss scores with 27 percent of his runners in maiden special weight events.
Tim Holland 11-06-09.
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