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Brisnet Pedigree stats for Sunday at Arlington.
The Pedigree statistics exclusively found in the Brisnet Ultimate Past Performances can be a source of valuable hidden nuggets. A look at Sunday's card at Arlington provides some examples.
Race 1. All of the eight two-year-old fillies will be trying the grass for the first time in this mile and a sixteenth maiden. Several have the potential on pedigree to take to the surface especially #2 AVY BABY. The David Hinsley trained filly, who is a half-sister to one turf winner, is by the young sire, Eurosilver who, albeit from a very small sample, has 50 percent winners from starts on grass. The offspring of Majestic Light, who is Avy Baby's damsire, win at a respectable 14 percent on turf and, at 15/1 on the morning line, it may be worth taking a chance on this filly.
Race 7.Another young stallion to be represented by a two-year-old trying the turf for the first time is Roman Ruler whose runners have won 17 percent of their turf starts. He is the sire of #4 DARK RULER in this mile and a sixteenth maiden on the grass, who is out of a mare by the established turf sire, Dynaformer who has a SPI of 2.63. A half-brother to one winner on the turf. Dark Ruler has a Turf Pedigree rating of a high 110 which, when compared to his 104 rating for fast dirt, suggest he will be more suited to this surface.
Another in this race that should be considered on pedigree is #2 HIGH ASPIRATIONS. This colt made a decent debut over five furlongs on the grass when he finished fourth and his sire is Powerscourt whose runners are winning at 18 percent on the grass. The average winning distance of the offspring of Powerscourt is 7.0 furlongs, which is high for a young stallion, and suggests that this distance will be more to the suiting of High Aspirations who is also a half-brother to one turf winner.
Race 10. Although he has shown little in his first two starts, #1 SALT POINT may be worth a look in this mile and a sixteenth maiden on the grass. Both of Salt Point's starts were sprinting on the main tack but the high AWDs of his sire, Gone West and damsire, His Majesty suggest that routing may be his game. Furthermore, Salt Point is a half-brother to two turf winners and at 12/1 on the morning line, it may be worth taking a chance that the distance and surface change will move him up dramatically.
Tim Holland 9-19-09.
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