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Brisnet maiden race nuggets.
With little racing form to assess, handicappers often pass on maiden races. However, with the pedigree and trainer stats found in the Brisnet Ultimate Past Performances, players are able uncover nuggets that can lead to lucrative payoffs.
Thursday, Arlington race 3. There are several first time starters in this six furlong maiden claimer for two-year-olds. The most interesting may be # 3 BREWER who is 7/2 on the morning line. The colt is by Successful Appeal who has a SPI of 2.01 and whose offspring win their debuts at a high rate of 19 percent and have an average winning distance (AWD) of a short 6.6 furlongs. Brewer's damsire is Dehere, whose SPI is 2.52 with an AWD of 6.7 furlongs and whose debutants win 15 percent of the time. The trainer is Steve Asmussen who wins at a rate of 25 percent when he enters first time starters in maiden claimers.
Thursday, Calder race 3. William White has had a solid Calder meet winning at a 24 percent clip. Here he will saddle #2 PAIZANO who is 4/1 on the morning line in this six furlong maiden claimer. Paizano showed some brief speed before fading in his debut but now adds blinkers, in which situation White wins at 27 percent. White's success rate with second time starters is 23 percent and 30 percent when they take a slight drop in class, such as today. Manuel Cruz, who has been winning with 40 percent of his mounts trained by White, has been booked for this.
Friday, Arlington race 6. #7 D D's KIDDING made a promising debut last fall at Churchill when trained by Eddie Kenneally but will make her second start in this five furlong maiden on the grass for low profile trainer, Clark Hanna. The three-year-old is by Mancini whose offspring win at 19 percent on the turf. D D's Kidding's dam, Are You Kidding has already produced one turf winner and, as the dam of two stakes winners, has a DPI of 2.08.
Friday, Calder race10. Pablo Andrade's forte is not winning with newcomers, but in this five and a half furlong maiden he sends out the debutant #8 CERRADOR who might be worth a look at a decent price. The two-year-old is by Five Star Day and out of a mare by Tale Of the Cat whose offspring win their first starts at rates of 16 and 17 percent respectively.
Tim Holland 9-16-06.
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