Brisnet Average Competitive Level.
The Average Competitive Level (ACL) is another helpful statistic found in the Brisnet Ultimate Past Performances that, combined with other angles, can be a key to uncovering live longshots. A few examples are found on Saturday at Calder.
Race 2. Top on ACL in this five and a half furlong claimer is #3 DZIBANCHE who will be making her first start off a layoff in which situation her trainer, Edward Plesa, wins at 18 percent. With good pace ratings Dzibanche should be close to the pace throughout and is 5/1 on the morning line.
Race 8. #6 DEVILISH MECKE is second highest ranked on ACL but at 6/1 on the morning line may offer more value than the top rated, Heaven's Answer, who is tabbed at 5/2. Although unraced since July, Devilish Mecke posted a bullet work recently and, with little other pace entered, should receive a good trip.
Race 9. Not only is #5 PUNTO FIJO top on ACL but is the lone runner entered with an "E" run style. With good pace ratings the gelding could have the advantage of an easy lead and looks attractive with an 8/1 morning line.
Race 10. With most of his latest races being on dirt, and this mile and a sixteenth allowance scheduled for turf, #1 COLONIAL CAUSEWAY'S top ACL ranking earns the designation of being in parenthesis. However, with his sire being Giant's Causeway whose offspring win a decent rate of 15 percent on the grass, (according to the pedigree statistics found in the Ultimate Past Performances), the surface switch may not be a problem. In a race filled with runners with "E" run styles, Colonial Causeway's rating style may be an advantage.
Race 12. #3 JAZZ NATION has not raced for 69 days since he was claimed by Marcus Vitale. However, Vitale wins with 18 percent of his runners coming off this type of a layoff and at 29 percent first off a claim. Clearly top ranked on ACL, Jazz Nation may offer value being 10/1 on the morning line in this five furlong sprint on the turf.
Tim Holland 10-23-09.
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