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Brisnet Arlington Million Day Review.
Arlington hosted a fabulous day of racing on Saturday with seven stakes races, including three grade one events, offering plentiful betting opportunities. Once again the Brisnet Ultimate Past Performances and Race Summaries provided the means to lucrative payoffs.
The first stakes race of the day was the seven furlong Forward Pass Stakes. The winner was Conchacer who, as the fourth choice in the wagering returned $11.60. The Dale Bennett-trained colt was picked top on the Current Class category in the Ultimate Race Summary as well as on Average Speed for this sprint distance.
She Be Wild, who had not raced for 70 days since breaking her maiden in her debut, provided a slight upset when winning the Top Flight Stakes at odds of 7.80/1. While slightly difficult to select based on speed and pace figures, the Ultimate Past Performances did offer some significant positives as to her chances. Indeed, her sire's SPI and dam's DPI, figures that are at their most relevant when dealing with lightly raced juveniles, were the highest in the field of eleven two-year-olds. Furthermore, the trainer stats on Wayne Catalano revealed that he wins at a high 31 percent with his runners returning off this type of layoff and with 35 percent of horses that are making their first start since breaking their maiden.
In the Hatoof Stakes Romacaca was a strong selection in the Ultimate Race Summary being ranked the over four point leader on Prime Power as well as top on the Speed Last Race, Back Speed and Early Pace Last Race categories. The dark bay filly did not disappoint when she led all the way to defeat the second highest on the Prime Power, Afternoon Stroll generating an exacta payoff of $18.60. Third home in the Hatoof was the longshot, at 27.90/1, Seniga who was a close fourth on Prime Power but top on Average Speed in turf routes and second in the Average Class Last 3 category. The trifecta paid $181.60.
In the first of the grade one events of the afternoon, the Secretariat Stakes, the winner, Take The Points ($7.40) was the Prime Power selection by over five points. Having not raced in North America previously, second placed Black Bear Island did not qualify for a Prime Power ranking but the Irish-trained colt was top on Current Class and Average Class Last 3. The pair of three-year-olds combined for a very healthy exacta return of $35.20.
Pure Clan was the Prime Power selection for the Beverly D. Stakes as well as being top on Late Pace Last Race in the Ultimate Race Summary. However, hindered by moderate fractions the four-year-old was unable to catch the returning to form Dynaforce (who was second in the Summary's Back Speed category) and the Current Class pick, Alnadana who ran a fine race at 8.70/1.
In the featured Arlington Million Gio Ponti was ranked nearly twelve points clear of his rivals on Prime Power and did not let his supporters down winning by an authoritative length and a quarter, returning $5.00. Value could have been found here in the exacta with longshot Just As Well who was ranked a close third on Prime Power and owned, by far, the highest individual Late Pace figure. Just As Well closed late to round out the exacta which was worth $72.20.
In winning the Spectacular Bid Stakes as the even-money favorite, Dixie Band became the fourth top ranked Prime Power runner to win a stakes on the afternoon. A $2 win wager on the seven Prime Power picks would have returned $21.20 for a $14.00 investment -- a 51 percent profit. Meanwhile a $2 exacta key using the Prime Power pick over the second and third choices generated a profit of $62.80 for a risk of $28.00 amounting to a 224 percent profit.
Tim Holland 8-10-09.
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