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At a Glance at Arlington and Calder.
Found in the Handicapper's Edge on Brisnet.com the "At a Glance" segment is an invaluable overview of track bias, as well as hot and cold trainer/jockey, stats.
At a glance one can see that through Sunday at the Arlington meet, which started on May 1st, favorites have been winning at a near normal rate of 31 percent with 68 percent finishing in the money. The average odds for the first 371 winners at the meet is 5.46/1.
115 races have been run over six furlongs on the Polytrack of which 28 percent have been won in wire-to-wire fashion, with closers having a definite edge and the inside posts holding an advantage. This is all consistent with results from the two previous Arlington meets. However, over a flat mile the surface appears to be favoring closers more than in the past with only 14 percent of the 66 contests being won by horses in front throughout. Closers have also fared best at the one mile and a sixteenth with a lower than normal 18 percent of the winners wiring their fields and at this distance horses from outside post have been performing best. 80 turf routes have been run and, similar to the past two years, a closing style and inside post have been best.
With six wins from 11 starters through Sunday, Dale Bennett has been the hottest trainer on the grounds. Excelling with runners coming off layoffs, off claims, dropping in class and first time starters the average odds of Bennett's winners has been 2.65/1. Danny Miller, who also does well with runners dropping in class has won with five of his 10 starters with the winners' average odds 4.80/1.
E.T.Baird has been the hottest jockey at this Arlington meet with eight wins from 16 mounts while Inez Karlsson and Michael Straight have been cold.
Favorites have won at a 40 percent clip at the Calder meet which started on April 24th. A near normal 36 percent of the 81 races run at six furlongs on the dirt have been won wire-to-wire with inside posts holding the advantage. The inside posts and front runners have also been best at a mile and a sixteenth, while middle to outside post have been at an advantage at the mile and 70 yard distance on the main track. On the turf runners from just off the pace have been the best to follow with runners from outside posts in sprints and middle posts in routes performing best.
Trainers Steven Dwoskin and David Vivian each have four wins from 10 starters through Sunday with average winning odds of 4.49/1 and 4.67/1 respectively while the most profitable handler to follow has been Gerald Procino who has had two winners from four starters with average winning odds of 14.80/1.
Manuel Cruz has ridden five winners from 20 mounts to be the hottest jockey of the meet but the most lucrative rider for handicappers has been Daniel Coa whose four winners from eight rides have been sent off at average odds of 15.13/1.
The At a Glance segment is available for all major tracks on a weekly basis in the Handicapper's Edge at Brisnet.com.
Tim Holland 7-15-09.
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