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Arlington Saturday Pick Six.
With a Pick Six carryover going into Friday's card of $155,566 and with some competitive races presenting the possibility of the bet not being hit again, it might be worthwhile taking a look at the races in the sequence on Saturday.
Race 5 is the first leg of the Pick Six. A competitive looking maiden for two-year-old fillies with several first time starters entered. #9, Tool Time Girl is one of few with prior experience having finished third here on May 24th earning a decent Bris Speed Rating of 86. Trained by Tom Proctor who wins with 16 percent of his second time starters she must be used. Two first timers might be worth including. Larry Rivelli, who wins with 15 percent of his debutants, saddles #1, Richiesgirlgotgame who posted a recent bullet work and is by Five Star Day who offspring win their debuts at 16 percent according to the statistics found in the Brisnet Ultimate Past Performances. #6, Mardi Gras Indy is a well bred filly being by Pulpit and is trained by Chris Block who scores with 24 percent of his firsters. Being the first leg of the Pick Six, one has the opportunity to add more selections after seeing if any of the others are taking action at the windows, especially concerning #12, No Exaggeration who may be a live prospect despite her wide post.
Race 6. The second leg is a contentious optional claimer over one mile on the Polytrack. The Prime Power top pick is #4 Amazing Results who has two wins over the surface and was second in last year's Perryville S. (G3) at Keeneland. He may be used along with #1, Coragil Cat who is the morning line favorite and won a stakes here two starts back and #2 Spotsgone who looks like the speed of the race with superior Bris Pace Ratings. An intriguing prospect is #3, Palace Episode, a runner with backclass who showed a return to form with a narrow miss last time but has not run on a synthetic surface before.
Race 7. In order to make a Pick Six ticket affordable one must find a single to use. This could be #1, Abby's Angel. An impressive maiden breaker in 2008, the four-year-old returned to the races late last month with a good looking win. The Prime Power pick, Abby's Angel posted a bullet work on Wednesday and could be able to win again.
Race 8. #7, Blue Whistler is top on the Prime Power and will make his turf debut. His trainer is 17 percent with runners making their first start on the grass and the son of Vindication has to be used. #4, Grizzled Robert narrowly missed last time out for the high percentage barn of Hugh Robertson and is top on hte Average Class Last 3 category in the Ultimate Race Summary. A third contender may be Bruce Carl who may prove to be a shrewd claim when taken for $5,000 in his runaway victory here in early June. He has wired his fields in his last two starts and may be the lone speed entered here.
Race 9. #2, Hot Cha Cha looks a pretty solid bet to win the featured Arlington Oaks (G3). The three-year-old has run well in her last three starts on the turf but previously won the Bourbonette S. (G3) on the Polytrack at Turfway. The danger may be #1, C.S.Silk who won the Arlington Washington Lassie (G3) by a good looking six lengths last year but subsequently lost her form. However, she signaled a return to her best with an easy allowance win at Churchill last month.
Race 10. With very little early speed entered this one mile and a sixteenth claimer on the turf for fillies and mares may set up well for #4, Classic Actress who likes to run close to the early pace. Her form is solid at this level and she has a win and a second over this course.
1,6,7 with 1,2,3,4 with 1 with 4,6,7 with 1,2 with 4. Total cost to $2 = $144.
Tim Holland 7-17-09.
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